Sat, Jun 13, 2026 · 01:00 AM GMT · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Based on previous scored predictions.
Factor analysis is being prepared.
Expected goals estimate how many goals each team is statistically expected to score.
Scoreline probabilities are not available yet.
Timeline events are not available yet.
The statistical model projects 1.9 expected goals for USA and 0.86 for Paraguay, producing win probabilities of 62% for USA, 22% for the draw, and 16% for Paraguay. USA emerge as the statistical favorite, driven primarily by their superior FIFA ranking and the balance of attacking and defensive ratings. The most probable scoreline consistent with that outcome is 2-0. Confidence is rated high based on the gap between the top outcome and the alternatives — this is a probabilistic projection, not a guarantee, and Paraguay win in roughly 16% of simulated outcomes.
The statistical model projects 1.9 expected goals for USA and 0.86 for Paraguay, producing win probabilities of 62% for USA, 22% for the draw, and 16% for Paraguay. USA emerge as the statistical favorite, driven primarily by their superior FIFA ranking and the balance of attacking and defensive ratings. The most probable scoreline consistent with that outcome is 2-0. Confidence is rated high based on the gap between the top outcome and the alternatives — this is a probabilistic projection, not a guarantee, and Paraguay win in roughly 16% of simulated outcomes.
Footora provides AI-powered football predictions and match analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not provide betting advice, gambling services, odds-making, financial advice, or guaranteed outcomes. Predictions are generated by statistical models and may be inaccurate.