Sat, Jun 13, 2026 · 07:00 PM GMT · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Based on previous scored predictions.
Factor analysis is being prepared.
Expected goals estimate how many goals each team is statistically expected to score.
Scoreline probabilities are not available yet.
Timeline events are not available yet.
The statistical model projects 0.75 expected goals for Qatar and 1.9 for Switzerland, producing win probabilities of 14% for Qatar, 21% for the draw, and 65% for Switzerland. Switzerland emerge as the statistical favorite, driven primarily by their superior FIFA ranking and the balance of attacking and defensive ratings.
The most probable scoreline consistent with that outcome is 0-2. Confidence is rated high based on the gap between the top outcome and the alternatives — this is a probabilistic projection, not a guarantee, and Qatar win in roughly 14% of simulated outcomes.
The statistical model projects 0.75 expected goals for Qatar and 1.9 for Switzerland, producing win probabilities of 14% for Qatar, 21% for the draw, and 65% for Switzerland. Switzerland emerge as the statistical favorite, driven primarily by their superior FIFA ranking and the balance of attacking and defensive ratings.
The most probable scoreline consistent with that outcome is 0-2. Confidence is rated high based on the gap between the top outcome and the alternatives — this is a probabilistic projection, not a guarantee, and Qatar win in roughly 14% of simulated outcomes.
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